5 Reasons the Eagles will NOT win
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5 Reasons the Eagles will NOT win
Super Bowl LIII The Eagles won the Super Bowl last year Womens Ronald Darby Jersey , and as they approach their second game of the season undefeated, lets face the sad truth: The Eagles are not going to win the Super Bowl this year. Its a reality we’ve all come to admit internally, but externally, as Eagles fans, we declare this team undefeatable and destined to win their second Super Bowl in not only two years, but in 53 years. Why won’t they win, you might ask? Well...Have you seen the NFC?Here’s a not-so-hot take for you, whoever wins the NFC will win the Super Bowl. The league has become very unbalanced in recent years, and the trend only seems to be continuing. If you were to consult Pro Football Focus to find out how many teams from each conference ranked in the top half of the league by year, this is what you’d get:Teams in Top Half of League by Conference (per PFF)SeasonAFCNFCSeasonAFCNFCFor those of you who don’t care what PFF has to say, if you were to simply refer to the initial draft positions of each team by year to find how many teams each conference has in the final 16 picks, you’ll get a very similar table:Teams in Top Half of Conference by year (by draft position)SeasonAFCNFCSeasonAFCNFCEither way, as you can see, the power of the NFC has been slowly growing over the past few seasons, and the trend should continue in 2018. Here is a(n incomplete probably) list of players that transitioned from the AFC to the NFC in one way or another this offseason:Alex Smith (KC to WAS)Allen Hurns (JAX to DAL)Allen Robinson (JAX to CHI)Aquib Talib (DEN to LAR)Brandin Cooks (NE to LAR)Demario Davis (NYJ to NO)George Iloka (CIN to MIN)Khalil Mack (OAK to CHI)Marcus Peters (KC to LAR)Muhammad Wilkerson (NYJ to GB)Nate Solder (NE to NYG)Ndamukong Suh (MIA to LAR)Ryan Jensen (BAL to TB)While some power rankings show the Eagles in the top spot, others have one, two, or even three NFC teams ahead of them. If the Eagles win the NFC, they will win the Super Bowl but the odds of them doing so in such a competitive conference are only 6/1, per vegasinsider.com and 4/1 per oddsshark.com.The Eagles just won the Super Bowl.Since the Super Bowl was first played on January 15th Womens Jake Elliott Jersey , 1967, only 8 times has the game been won by the same team two years in a row. That means about 15% of the time a team will repeat, with only once occurrence since the league got to 32 teams. It was tough enough for the Eagles to win one Super Bowl (as I’m sure we all remember) and to assume that Philly can march back to the Championship again is putting the metaphorical cart before the horse. In fact, its more likely that the Super Bowl winning team will finish the following season without a winning record (which has happened 11 times, or 22%) than it is that the team will finish the following season as the Super Bowl Champions again. While history like this, of course, has no barring on the future, it is a good indicator of just how tough it is for a team to repeat a championship run.The secondary is more of a liability than you’re comfortable admitting.The loss of Patrick Robinson could cause shock waves throughout this defense. Jalen Mills, while fierce and aggressive, is arguably the worst player on the defense. Rasul Douglas and Ronald Darby both looked the part at times last year, but then again, both players rank within the top 30 cornerbacks in terms of most yards allowed per cover snap. Rodney McLeod was great in coverage, but was one of the least effective tackling safeties in the league last year. Here are some 2017 coverage stats you might not have thought of:Jalen Mills has a passer rating when targeted of 90.3 on contested catches (ranks 72/91 out of CBs with at least 10 contested targets)When in press coverage, Mills had an allowed completion percentage of 69.2 (ranks 114/126 out of CBs with at least 10 press coverage targets)On plays without pressure on the quarterback, Mills allowed 4 TDs but only registered 1 INT (TD/INT ratio ranks 81/130 CBs with at least 20 non-pressure targets)On third or fourth down, Rodney McLeod allowed 5 of 5 targets to be caught for an average of 10.2 yards.In the red zone Ronald Darby had allowed a passer rating when targeted of 88.7. Jalen Mills was even worse at 104.2. Patrick Robinson, on the other hand, allowed a passer rating of just 31.6.Jalen Mills allowed 252 yards after the catch from the cornerback position. Only 6 players allowed more. The common defense of Jalen Mills is something along the lines of this: He is schemed to allow receptions underneath of him while quickly making the tackle. He excels in press coverage and in quick throw situations. He is a good coverage corner with a good ability to break up passes.The problem is, almost all of that is wrong. Mill is below average without the help of pressure. Mills is very bad in contested situations. Mills is very bad when starting a play in press coverage. Mills allows more yards after the catch than most cornerbacks. It’ll be interesting to see what Sidney Jones and Avonte Maddox are capable of bringing to this unit, but for now http://www.eaglesfootballauthentics.com/lane-johnson-jersey-authentic , the loss of Patrick Robinson might have the biggest impact on the roster out of all of the changes that happened to this team since February, positive or negative. The loss of Frank Reich & John DeFilippo hurts. It hurts bad.Just four days after winning the Super Bowl, it was announced that QB Coach John DeFilippo would become the new offensive coordinator of the Minnesota Vikings. |
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